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Friday, September 15, 2006

Redistribution Finalised

The AEC has released the final determination on the Federal Redistribution. Malcolm Turnbull appears to be one of the big winners, with the proposed boundary change adjusted slightly to take in some of the swankier areas that make up his support base rather than taking in some of the more left-leaning beach areas that he must not have been looking forward to representing. The unpopular decision to remove the Parramatta CBD from the electorate of Parramatta has been reversed. The super-electorate of Parkes has been shrunk significantly at the expense of neighbouring Farrer and Calare, though they do not provide much comfort to independent Peter Andren, who still finds himself with an electorate of a significantly different character. Some, such as the Member for Sydney Tanya Plibersek, have suddenly found themselves living outside their own electorate. Plibersek, whose electorate is one of the state's most populous, has also failed in her attempt to retain Lord Howe Island. And, of course, the seat of Gwydir, currently held by the soon-to-retire John Anderson, has been abolished.

There's now speculation that there could be a rash of challenges by MPs who have seen their support base shifted to another electorate, some of which would come against sitting MPs of the same party, and even Ministers (such as John Cobb). No doubt the government needs another Liberal/National/rural Independent stoush like a hole in the head ...


At 3:20 pm, Anonymous The Poll Bludger said...

For much, much more on the finalised redistributions, see the comments threads on my site here and here.

It was also my initial impression than Turnbull was a winner from the revisions, but some of my well-informed commenters are not so sure. Sacha Blumen from the University of Sydney's School of Mathematics and Statistics had this to say:

"The changes to Wentworth probably don’t change things greatly from the original proposal. Compared to the original proposal, Wentworth keep half of Randwick, gains the triangle of Darlinghurst between Flinders St, Oxford St and Sth Dowling Rd, and loses the area of East Sydney west of Riley St. Overall, depending on the strength of the vote in East Sydney, it’s a net benefit for Labor".

At 4:50 pm, Blogger Minotaur said...

That actually makes a lot of sense. He's lost most of his electorate to areas that voted solidly for Tanya Plibersek in the last election, though he'd be in even more trouble if they were booths where the Greens came in second.

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